Market Insights

With both HDBs and Condos shrinking, what can you still afford? - 99.co

Keith Tan Boon Kee  |  ERA Division Director  |  05 Mar 2026
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Singapore's property market has undergone a quiet but significant shift over the past decade. Your dollar still buys you property, but it buys you noticeably less space than it did ten years ago. Whether you're a first-time HDB buyer, upgrading to a condo, or an investor looking for value, this shrinking square footage issue is something you need to understand before you commit to a purchase.

The Shrinking Space Reality

Walk into a showroom or visit a unit listing and you'll see impressive floor plans on paper. The numbers look reasonable. The price seems competitive. But step inside and something feels off. The rooms are tighter. The corridors narrower. The living spaces more compact than you expected. This is because both HDB flats and private condominiums have been systematically shrinking over the last decade.

Developers are optimising every single square foot. They're squeezing more units into the same footprint, keeping construction costs down, and maintaining attractive price points. It's a smart business move, and buyers have largely accepted it. But here's the catch, most people don't realise this adjustment is happening until they're standing in the actual unit, and by then they've already mentally committed to the purchase.

This trend affects both public and private housing. HDB flat designs have been refined multiple times. Newer Build-to-Order flats offer clever layouts but in smaller overall sizes. Similarly, new condo developments prioritise efficient unit designs over generous living spaces. If you're upgrading from an older HDB to a newer condo, or moving from a resale flat to a new Build-to-Order unit, you might find yourself in a situation where your budget has stayed roughly the same but your actual living space has shrunk by 10 to 20 percent.

Why This Matters for Your Budget

Your purchasing power as a buyer remains tied to your financial capacity. Your bank can still approve you for the same loan amount. Your CPF can still withdraw the same sum. Your down payment is still the same size. But what changes is what that money translates into on the ground.

This creates a frustrating gap between expectations and reality. You walk in thinking your budget gives you a certain lifestyle or amount of space. The paperwork confirms it. The price is within your approved range. But the lived experience is tighter, more compact, and less spacious than you anticipated. For families, this can mean children sharing smaller bedrooms. For couples, it might mean a living room that feels cramped with furniture. For investors, it means rental yields need to account for smaller unit sizes that command lower rents.

The real question becomes not just "Can I afford this?" but "Can I live comfortably in this?" Those are two very different questions, and the second one requires you to actually visit units and spend time in them, not just review dimensions online.

HDB Upgraders and Condo Buyers Face Different Challenges

For HDB buyers looking to upgrade to a condo, the space squeeze is particularly noticeable. Many upgraders come from larger resale HDB flats, especially four and five-room units from the 1990s and 2000s. These older flats, though less modern, often have genuinely spacious layouts. When you step into a new condo with the same or higher price tag, the spatial reality can be a shock. You're paying more per square foot and receiving less total space.

HDB buyers purchasing new Build-to-Order flats face a similar dynamic. A new BTO three-room flat, while well-designed and modern, will feel noticeably smaller than a resale three-room flat from ten or fifteen years ago. The finishes might be better. The layouts might be more efficient. But the actual square footage is genuinely less.

For investors and those playing the long game, this matters too. Smaller units attract certain buyer profiles and renters. A 600 sq ft condo appeals to young professionals and downsizers, but it won't appeal to families with children. Smaller units also experience slower appreciation in many cases because the tenant and buyer pool is more niche. Understanding what space you're actually getting helps you make smarter investment decisions.

What This Means For You

If you're in the market for property, whether as a first-time buyer, upgrader, or investor, here are the practical steps to navigate this reality:

The Singapore property market hasn't changed its pricing strategy, but it has changed its product. The same budget today gets you less tangible space than a decade ago. That's not a statement about value or quality, it's simply the reality of how the market has evolved. Your job as a buyer is to be aware of this shift and make decisions based on what you actually need to live comfortably, not just what the numbers suggest you can afford.

Take the time to visit units, ask hard questions, and honestly assess whether the space matches your lifestyle. Your financial approval is just the first filter. Your actual satisfaction depends on whether the space you're buying works for how you actually live.

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Source: 99.co

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Estimates only, not guaranteed, figures may change. Keith Tan Boon Kee, CEA Reg No. R003793E, ERA Realty Network.